Showing posts with label Governor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Governor. Show all posts

Sunday, June 1, 2014

Negative Ads, Lies Key For GOP against Jason Carter

Candidate for Gov. Jason Carter
Negative campaigning is hardly new, and already the Republican Governors Association in association with Nathan Deal are already running a misleading ad against challenger Jason Carter as Deal'a approval rating has dipped way below 50% and polling shows Carter either neck & neck or with a slight lead over the incumbent. Mudslinging is crucial to the Republican plan for this year's midterm elections, because the party's hold on the governor's mansion power will hinge on shifting attention from the state's educational system, cuts to the Hope Scholarship, Jobs and Medicaid and other state issues that cut against him. And let's not forget about the Ethics problem that continue to haunt Deal since he left congress 4 years ago.

When people are looking at issues that are affecting Georgia and that are not breaking the way favorably for Deal & Co, what you want to do is focus on your opponent and that's what the latest RGA ad does against Carter, accusing him of supporting to expand Obamacare, where in fact he supports expanding medicaid. They took his support of expanding medicaid and twist it in a attempt to say he support expanding Obamacare. It's a tough tactic, one they hope will drive up Carter's negatives among Georgia voters especially among white swing voters.

Their strategy from now up to November is to define Carter immediately and unrelentingly. The strategy rests on the widely held belief that negative political ads make more of an impression on voters than positive one. Voters are in some ways more ready to accept the negative about politicians than the positive and they often say they would like to see a more reasoned debate in campaigns and more talk about the ideas, but in fact they often respond to negative ads because they tend to find them more credible.

So the question now for the Carter campaign is how to respond to a attack ad that takes his support of medicaid as a interpretation that he supports Obamacare, which are entirely two different things.

Sunday, March 2, 2014

Jason Carter to Speak at Jefferson-Jackson Dinner April 5 in Peach County.

State Senator Jason Carter (D), gubernatorial candidate for governor will be the featured speaker at the Peach County Democratic Party's First Annual Jefferson-Jackson Dinner on April 5 at 6:00 p.m. at Fort Valley State University.

Expect other Statewide Candidates to appear at this function as well.

Tickets are $50.00. For more Info, contact Kattie Kendrick, Chairwoman of the Peach Co. Democratic Party or Vice-Chairwoman Mary Ann-van Hartesveldt  478-825-7624 or 478-825-2985

Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Nunn, Carter & The Coattail Effect

 There's this thing in Politics called Coattails or "The Coattail Effect" & in this year's midterm elections here in Georgia, one wonders what kind of coattails will Gubernatorial candidate for Governor Jason Carter (D-Decatur), son of former Governor and President James E. ""Jimmy" Carter & U.S. Senate & eventual candidate Michelle Nunn (D-Atlanta), daughter of former State Rep & U.S. Senator Sam Nunn will have in this year's elections.

If you don't know what coattails are, its the power of a popular candidate to gather support for other candidates running on the same party ticket. Strong or winning candidates are said to have coattails when they drag candidates for lower office along with them to victory.


The reality is, when you run for office, the only person you better count on to get the job done is yourself. But of course a candidate cannot win any election without help from many others. All politics are local and local is where any election needs to start.


The Democratic Party can have the best candidates, be on the right side of the issues and put out poll changing marketing, however, without a wide-ranging and extensive ground game, they will come up short time and time again. The proof is in the pudding, look at the 2008 Senate race between Jim Martin and Saxby Chambliss. Martin clearly rode the coattails of Barack Obama and as a result he forced Chambliss into a runoff, but when the General Election was over and with no Barack Obama on tip of the ballot, Martin was exposed with a very weak or non-existant ground game needed thus lost in the runoff.


There doesn't need to be some sort of dramatic Soul Searching for Democrats, they just need to be clear, acknowledge the facts and look in the mirror. Elections are different each year, but the fundamentals of a very successful election never ever change. Democrats here in Georgia CANNOT RELY ON HOPE OR SCANDAL OR SOMEONE RESIGNING from the GOP side to win. Although it never hurts.


In Jason Carter & Michelle Nunn, the Democratic Party have two candidates who, depending how their perspective campaigns go could have those valuable coattails needed to pull weaker candidates across the 50% threshold. Both are moderate-minded democrats who can appeal & can pull votes from Independents, suburbanites, rural moderates & disaffected Conservative Democrats. In the case of Michelle Nunn who's making her first run for office, if voters, especially those in Rural Georgia see her in the same mold of her very popular father and former Senator, her coattails could reach as far down to the local level (Commissioner, State Legislative Seats). Jason Carter youth, enthusiasm, passion and his ability to talk and appeal to the Bluecollar working man and woman and his ability to persuade could also have the same effect. His relationship to former President Carter will hinder him with some voters who'll never vote for him because he's a democrat and he's related to President Carter, who is a favorite whipping boy for hardline republicans.

What I know is that coattails aren't just the result of a popular candidate convincing voters to support his or her platform, the most powerful coattail effects are caused by actually changing the composition of the electorate. When the candidate at the top of the ticket catches fire, members of that candidate's party are energized, invigorated. They work harder for the whole ticket and come out to vote for it in higher numbers.

If you're a candidate for congress here in Georgia, it would help if you attach yourself to either one of these candidates or both.

Party labels in my view serve poorly as shortcuts and both National Parties are not popular at the moment. Attaching your campaign to a presidential candidate would do more harm than good. But since gubernatorial candidates are well known inside the state and have a strong network, congressional candidates such as Amy Tavio can win votes by allying with a Carter or Nunn.

But in the end, coattails alone will not be enough for any democrat running for office here in Georgia this year and beyond. He or she must have a decent ground game as well. Just the coattails alone may get them 3-4% more of the vote, but if they want 50%, a ground game is essential.

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

All Points Bulletin To Georgia Dems: Stop Avoiding......or Running Away From The Rural Georgia Voter!!!!!!!!!!

Democrats for some reason are afraid of the Rural Georgia Voter. For some mathematically challenged reason, they don't think they can beat the republicans on this isolated, sparsely populated terrain and that is sad from my vantage point. Congressman John Barrow although he is a congressman have no problem with going out and appealing to rural voters in his conservative-tilting district and he enjoys doing it. If Statewide Democrats and democrats in general have the kind of passion and drive Congressman Barrow, who is a independent, conservative democrat in the mold of the late Congressman Bo Ginn (D-Millen) who held that district during the late 1970s-early 80s have, the party would be in much better shape down here

As we approach 2014, I will be watching very closely to see whether or not statewide candidates will put forth a effort and build grassroots support from the Swamps of Ware County to the Cotton fields of Dooly County to the Mountains of Rabun County.

All statewide democrats have to do is just go talk to people. But don't do it in a condescending, "We're going to teach you people how to vote" kind of thing. Go sit at Priscilla's Restaurant in Eastman, Ga or Sister's Country Kitchen in Hazelhurst, Ga and listen to the concerns of citizens who feel slighted by what they see as no progress in terms of job creation, the regression of the local school systems, etc. Establish a presence in Rural Areas such as these. Be a source of information and support. Most Rural Georgians are long-time residents and that means for generations. If Democrats.....Georgia Democrats are seen as just regular people and not the three-headed monster Faux Nooz and the Republican Party (who have had a control of rural Georgia for over a decade now) you'll go a long way toward earning back their trust and ultimately their ear.

One candidate, Gerald Beckum, candidate for the U.S. Senate will have no problem, being a rural conservative democratic mayor of a small town. As for the others and other potential candidates, that remains to be seen.

And for goodness sakes, lose the terminology like "Hicks", "Hillbillies" in describing rural residents in this state. Believe it or not, for the most part, these are good people who would do anything in the world for a person in need. It's important to remember that if the Georgia Democratic Party is grow their numbers, they need to stop avoiding Rural Georgians. If a Jason Carter, or Branko Radulovacki, or Michelle Nunn or whoever can cast him/herself as the candidate for rural voters, someone who understands the plight and values of the rural, bluecollar family, family farmers and attract culturally conservative voters in South Georgia. 

Rural Georgia is pivotal for the resurgence for Georgia Democrats next year going forward. But they must have the right candidate, one who can break through the rural way of life and the culture brickwall, which no democrat, at least so far haven't shown a willingness to do.

It's not complicated: All they have to do is show up!

These visits are important because they have a multiplier effect: Each meeting will lead to a conversation at the barber shop, grocery store or at church about how that democrat came to town. Don't underestimate the power of the grapevine in Rural Georgia!

By democrats staying away from Rural Georgia since 2002, they allowed Republicans to define and caricature them, especially on social issues such as religion and guns. If democrats don't show up, people will only hear what republicans say about them. When Roy Barnes made that ill fated decision to not put much effort into Rural Georgia in 2002, the republicans defined him in unsavory terms and the famous "King Roy" and "Boot Barnes" slogans were all over the place (from his decision to change the confederate flag, among other issues that lead to his defeat). Because of Barnes lack of presence in rural Georgia, he couldn't refute it.

But democrats from here on out, even those who will run for the State legislature need to forcefully explain their convictions, even if they're out of step with Rural Georgia. Rural Georgians can live with candidates with whom they disagree on some issues. But nowadays people are reticent about saying they're a democrat and the reason is because many feel that democrats of today do not share their values and interests. 

Winning with only the bread and butter issues is not enough to appeal to the rural voter. Many here are homeowners and entrepreneurs and and like low taxes and less regulations among other things so that's one of the reasons they vote republican.

Friday, November 15, 2013

GA-2014: A Jason Carter-Carl Camon Tandem Looks Very Appealing From My Neck of the Woods

By now many of you know that State Senator Jason Carter will run for governor next year. As a result of that, previously announced candidate for governor, ex State Sen & DeKalb Commissioner Connie Stokes decided to drop down and run for Lt. Governor. Nothing wrong with that

Camon during his 2010 run for Governor
But as I was thinking, the one person would pair perfectly with Jason Carter in the 2014 General Election....Carl Camon, the former Mayor of Ray City (Berrien County) and 2010 gubernatorial candidate for governor. Camon hails from South Georgia, a area which democrats have not committed to compete in over a decade.

Camon served five terms as mayor of Ray City, helped start Georgia's first municipal Pre-K Program, served 10 years in the U.S. Air force and was listed as Georgia's 40 under 40 rising stars in Georgia a few years ago by Georgia Trend Magazine.

During his 2010 run for governor, Camon stated when it comes to education, he believed that many of Georgia's problems were linked to education. He supported returning authority to teachers and increase their pay to the National Average and he also would encourage teachers to retire after 25 years to reduce cost in addition he would phase out alternative schools and work to reduce the number of students who repeat grades. With education being one of State Senator Carter's top platforms in 2014, this would seem like a perfect match for the 2014 General Election.

Camon is a Rural, Conservative African American Democrat who opposed abortion, supports the second amendment, Pre-K, Hope and QBE. Nothing against Connie Stokes, but in a general election, a duo of Moderate Jason Carter and Conservative Carl Camon, two young, smart Georgia politicos would be formidable and both would be a friend of Rural Georgia.

I don't know whether or not Camon would run for office again and currently he's doing some great things down in South Georgia, but the thought of Carter-Camon '14 is something to think about.




Thursday, November 11, 2010

DuBose Porter, Carol Porter in 2014?

With 2010 in the books, its time to wonder what lies ahead for democrats as they took a thumpin' last week.

What does the future holds for the Porters of Laurens County?

Porter (DuBose) gave his seat to run a unsuccessful campaign for governor. He is, in my opinion the next democrat in line to take a stab at another run for governor in 2014 against Nathan Deal, or whoever.

Let's not forget he's only 57 years old, so he still has some political life left in him since this was his first run for statewide office.

He ran a impressive grassroots campaign, but he couldn't beat the deep pocket donors of Roy Barnes in his bid to become the democratic nominee. Plus being minority leader at the time in the legislature, he didn't have the time to get his message out there to the people.

He's a graduate of Davidson College, interned for then US Senator Sam Nunn, he served as Administration Floor Leader in the House of Representatives to Governor Zell Miller. In January 2003, Porter was elected Speaker Pro Tempore of the House of Representatives.

I asked a question yesterday would the result been different had Porter was the nominee against Nathan Deal? Probably, but who knows?

Porter is in prime positon to make another run for governor in 2014, but its a question whether or not he will.

Then there's his dynamic wife & former Lt. Governor Carol Porter who came out of nowhere to make a strong run at Casey Cagle, garnering around 42% of the vote for a so-called novice candidate.

She wowed crowds with her fiery speeches, got high praise from unlikely republican supporters such as Macon CityCouncilman Erick Erickson of Redstate.Com. She stepped up when no other democrat was willing to challenge Casey Cagle because let's face it, it was "FEAR" that kept some other dems from challenging Cagle. Despite being unsuccessful, she has left a built in infrastructure for another run for office in 2014 as well, possibly for governor, Lt. Governor or another office down the line.

2010 elections was one of those rare instances that only happen every so-often, so 2014 could be the year that these two strong, viable candidates can resuscitate the party once & for all.

Looking at the Democratic Bench, there isn't much to work with:
Rob Teilhet
Michael Thurmond
Thurbert Baker
Jim Marshall.

Other Possibilities are:

David Adelman, ex-State Senator & current US Ambassador of Singapore
Ed Tarver, ex-State Senator & U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia.

Monday, January 4, 2010

2010 Endorsements - Governor

Last Updated: 01/06/10

If you know of an endorsement not listed or any errors on the page, please email me at ruraldem@gmail.com.

Democrats


Roy Barnes

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Thurbert Baker

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Carl Camon

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

DuBose Porter

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other


Organizations

David Poythress

Congress:

Statewide:

State Senate:

State House: 1
State Rep. Bob Bryant (D-160-Garden City)


Municipal/County: 29
Sheriff Donnie Peacock, Upson County
Sheriff Randy Shirley, Stephens County
County Commissioner Doug Lowry, Athens-Clarke County
County Commissioner John B. Hubbard, Elbert County
County Commissioner Al Smith, Coweta County
Board of Education Member Ovita Thornton, Clarke County
Marshal Greg Countryman, Muscogee County
Mayor Richard Barr, Adel
Mayor Robert E. Greene, Blue Ridge
Mayor Ronnie Maxwell, Nicholson
Mayor Rex A. Millsaps, Lawrenceville
Mayor Pro Tem Paul M. Cartledge, Nicholson
Mayor Pro Tem Scott M. Taylor, Chamblee
City Commissioner Duane Reid, Rome
City Councilwoman Sparkle Adams, Forest Park
City Councilman Tommy C. Bateman, Ashburn
City Councilwoman Marie Beiser, Lawrenceville
City Councilman Mike Cranford, Macon
City Councilman Nathaniel Cullars Sr., Washington
City Councilman Maceo Mahoney, Washington-Wilkes
City Councilwoman Fate Seagraves, Nicholson
City Councilman Harold Silcox, Fort Oglethorpe
City Councilman Lewis Sims, Jackson
City Councilman Virlyn Slaton, Morrow
City Councilman Billy Wilson, Tallapoosa
Former County Commissioner Johnny C. Smith, Barrow County
Former County Commissioner Robert L. Wood, Coweta County
Former County Commissioner Alvin Sheats, Athens-Clarke County


Other: 
15
Harold Barnett, Former School Superintendent, Marietta
M.V. Booker, Attorney/Community Activist, Washington-Wilkes
John Clark, Civil Rights Attorney, Elberton
Bobby Lee Cook, Attorney,
Bob Finnell, Attorney
Alvin C. Fort, Athens Community Agenda, Athens
Hardy Gregory, Attorney,
Nathaniel Irvin, Athens Community Agenda, Athens
Archibald Killian, Civil Rights Activist, Athens
Stephanie Woods Miller, Attorney,
Rev. Bennie R. Mitchell, Connors Temple Baptist Church, Savannah
Rev. James Nelson, Savannah
Al Tillman - President, Macon-Bibb NAACP, Macon

Tom Upchurch, President Emeritus, Georgia Partnership
Dr. and Mrs. Allan Wasserman, Decatur
Rev. Samuel Williams, Athens


Organizations


Republicans

Jeff Chapman

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Nathan Deal


Congress: 5
Congressman Paul Broun

Congressman Phil Gingrey
Congressman John Linder

Congressman Tom Price
Congressman Lynn Westmoreland

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Karen Handel

Congress

Statewide: 1

PSC Commissioner Chuck Eaton, Atlanta

State Senate: 1

State Senator John Douglas (R-17-Social Circle)

State House:
3

State Representative Randy Nix (R-69-LaGrange)

State Representative Wendall Willard (R-49-Sandy Springs)
Former State Representative Barbara Bunn (R-Rockdale)



Municipal/County: 58
County Commission Chairman Mike Berg, Dawson County
County Commission Chairman Dan Reyen, Hart County
County Commission Chairman Ned Sanders, Houston County
County Commission Chairman Tom Worthan, Douglas County
County Commission Vice Chairman Reggie Loper, Effingham County
County Commission Vice Chairman Billy Webster, Putnam County
County Commissioner Mike Beaudreau, Gwinnett County
County Commissioner Roger Boatright, Bacon County
County Commissioner Reid Bowman, Henry County
County Commissioner Karen Mahurin-Bosch, Cherokee County
County Commissioner Elaine Boyer, DeKalb County
County Commissioner Robert Davis, Troup County
County Commissioner Tim Fleming, Newton County
County Commissioner Jack Foskey, Johnson County
County Commissioner Alan Foster, Putnam County
County Commissioner Eddie Freeman, Spalding County
County Commissioner Jimmy Hearn, Lamar County
County Commissioner Ashley Hendrix, Carroll County
County Commissioner Ken Hickey, Thomas County
County Commissioner Kevin Jackson, Carroll County
County Commissioner Tom Lowe, Fulton County
County Commissioner Thomas McMichael, Houston County
County Commissioner Mike Mulcare, Douglas County
County Commissioner Lynne Riley, Fulton County
County Commissioner Bill Scott, Lumpkin County
County Commissioner Ken Smith, Troup County
County Commissioner Randy Stamey, Henry County
County Commissioner Jan Tankersley, Bulloch County
County Commissioner Roy Thompson, Bulloch County
County Commissioner Nancy Thrash, Lamar County
Former County Commission Chairman Bill Byrne, Cobb County
Former County Commission Chairman James Dixon, Burke County
Former County Commission Chairman Pat Farr, Columbia County
Former County Commission Chairman Steven Fry, Pike County
Former County Commissioner Joe Cornelius, Ware County 

Mayor Eric Clarkson, Chamblee
Mayor Arthur Letchas, Alpharetta
Mayor Joe Lockwood, Milton
Mayor Jerry Oberholtzer, Snellville
Mayor Don Rehwaldt, Tyrone
Mayor Jim Still, Mountain Park
Mayor Jere Wood, Roswell
Former Mayor Bob Walker, Dublin
Former Mayor Bob Young, Augusta

City Councilman D.C. Aiken, Alpharetta
City Councilman Tibby DeJulio, Sandy Springs
City Councilman Douglas DeRito, Alpharetta
City Councilman Ivan Figueroa, Johns Creek
City Councilwoman Dianne Fries, Sandy Springs
City Councilman David Belle Isle, Alpharetta
City Councilwoman Ashley Jenkins, Sandy Springs
City Councilman Randall Johnson, Johns Creek
City Councilwoman Karen Meinzen McEnerny, Sandy Springs
City Councilman John Monson, Alpharetta
City Councilman Jim Paine, Alpharetta
City Councilman Howard Shook, Atlanta
City Councilwoman Becky Wynn, Roswell
Former City Councilman Lee Morris, Atlanta 

 
Other

Organizations
Redstate

Eric Johnson

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Ray McBerry


Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

John Oxendine


Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Austin Scott


Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other

Organizations

Libertarians

John Monds

Congress

Statewide

State Senate

State House

Municipal/County

Other


Organizations

Monday, May 4, 2009

GA-Sen, GA-Gov: Isakson Surprisingly Weak, Gov Race A Tossup

Research 2000's latest poll takes us to the great state of Georgia, and tests several possible matchups for the United States Senate race (featuring incumbent Republican Johnny Isakson) and the gubernatorial race (featuring a cast of thousands).

Johnny Isakson (R-inc) 47
Roy Barnes (D) 43

Johnny Isakson (R-inc) 48
Jim Marshall (D) 40

Speaking of the Governor's race, they polled that, too. We pitted Republicans John Oxendine (state Insurance Commissioner) and Karen Handel (Secretary of State) against Democrats Barnes, Thurbert Baker (Attorney General), and David Poythress (former Secretary of State and Labor Commissioner).

John Oxendine (R) 46
Roy Barnes (D) 44

John Oxendine (R) 47
Thurbert Baker (D) 42

John Oxendine (R) 47
David Poythress (D) 43


Roy Barnes (D) 45
Karen Handel (R) 39

Thurbert Baker (D) 42
Karen Handel (R) 40

David Poythress (D) 43
Karen Handel (R) 39

All three Democrats trail Oxendine by a little bit, and lead Handel by a little bit. It looks like all of the non-stop campaigning by David Poythress is starting to pay off. Poythress name I.D. was his biggest hurdle, but now with polls showing him leading Karen Handel & trailing John Oxendine by 4%, Poythress is now the darkhorse candidate in the democratic field.

Public Policy Poll back in November had Thurbert Baker with 39% to Isakson 45% & Jim Marshall with 38% to Isakson 47%.


This is a Rural Blog that provides views & insights from a Conservative Georgia Democrat